JAGUARS (+3.5) over Colts
You know when you get
back from a nice vacation that was just absolutely exhilarating, and that first
day back to work is just THE WORST? You’re sitting at your desk, completely unmotivated
thinking about the trip you just took. It’s just an emotional hangover and you
gotta wait it out. This is that game for the Colts.
If you didn't already
know but the Colts have used the story with their head coach Chuck Pagano and
his battle with leukaemia as their rallying point. Last week Pagano spoke to his
team pre and post-game and at home versus the Dolphins, Miami never stood a
chance. It was an emotional high that was going to have the Colts on another
level. They had a moment like this earlier this year when news of Pagano’s
illness first broke. They played the Packers at home that week, surprise
surprise the Colts won in an incredible game. This game is very much either a
Pro-Colts or Anti-Colts pick because let’s face it – in no scenario are you
going to be able to conjure up a Pro-Jaguars pick. Now there are several
schools of thought in play for tonight’s game and how using Pagano will work or
won’t work for the Colts.
1)
After that Green Bay win, everybody was set to jump on
board with the Colts and ride this #ChuckStrong emotional wave the Colts were
having. They followed up with a 35-9 loss to the New York Jets. They came up
with a big win vs. the Dolphins, especially for the AFC playoff picture, and
now play a major downer game vs. the Jaguars.
2)
Because it’s a Thursday game and they don’t have the
full week to come down, they’ll still be on that emotional high and be able to
ride it out in a win over the Jaguars.
3)
They’re a young but smart team so having already been
through this roller-coaster once they’ll be better prepared for it now.
4)
The Colts are a young team and it takes more than 4
weeks to figure out how to manage these emotional swings during a long season.
The Colts are coming off a vacation and are set to go back to the real world. The regular rat race. You need those inspirational moments during a season, but you can't draw to that well every week. I think we see a repeat of that Jets game instead of a continuum of last week. It’s tough to come from that
high, then hit the road into a crummy place like Jacksonville and keep that
same level of focus on a short week.
Last Week: 5-9
Season: 64-67-1
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