Friday, November 30, 2012

Bik's Week 13 Picks: Drunk With Power

The commissioners are officially out of control.

It’s gotten to the point now where you can put the names of the commissioners of the big 4 North American sports in a hat, pull 1 out and complain about them for 30 minutes. So somehow I’m going to bypass the commissioner who has brought on his 4th work stoppage in 20 years during his tenure. Somehow I’m going to avoid talking about the commissioner who is lobbying for 18 game seasons while player safety is becoming an increasingly dangerous predicament for the league. Somehow I’m going to ignore the commissioner who is about to see 3 stars go onto their first Hal of Fame ballots, but all 3 have a cloud of steroid mystery around them. Yep – David Stern, this one is ode to you.

A few hours before tip-off the San Antonio Spurs announced their intention to rest their star players vs. the defending champion Miami Heat. Tim Duncan, Manu Ginobli, Danny Green and Tony Parker were all given the night off put on a commercial flight back to San Antonio to rest up and be ready for a home game against the league leading Memphis Grizzlies (Vancouver fans take a moment to cringe). The game they skipped also happened to be nationally televised and would have meant a nice ratings pull for the NBA as they squared off against the NFL’s Thursday Night Football lineup of New Orleans vs. Atlanta. And it took the NBA’s head office no time at all to say “nah-uh.”

Before the game NBA Commissioner David Stern weighed in on the news saying “This was an unacceptable decision by the San Antonio Spurs and substantial sanctions will be forthcoming.” Apparently Stern adheres to the age old adage of “fool me once shame on you – fool me for a 6th time shame on me.” (Ok ok you got me, that’s not an age old adage) because the Spurs have done this numerous times since 2008. Prior to a game last year in Utah last season, NBA Deputy Commissioner Adam Silver even backed the Spurs that time because it’s “within the discretion of the team” to do so. Duncan is 36, Ginbobli is 35 and Parker is their spry counterpart at 30, averaging out to 33.6 years old for the trio. So rather than have that aging trio play their 4th game in 5 nights in a season that is a marathon not a sprint, it was strategically planned months ago by Spurs coach Gregg Poppovich to give them this night off. And guess what, the short-handed Spurs nearly won against the defending Champs losing 105-100. But the league still finds it necessary to bring down sanctions on the Spurs. Forget trusting one of your most reliable franchises. This sort of stunt can’t be tolerated by the league apparently.

And for what? We’re talking about a league that is notorious for having its bad teams absolutely tank games at the end of seasons to improve their odds in the Draft Lottery. Where were the sanctions last year against Golden State when the effectively killed their season at the trade deadline. The Warriors had a 1st round pick that they would retain only if the pick was in the top 7 of the lottery. So what did they do? Traded Stephen Jackson, a reliable scorer and solid defender, for Richard Jefferson who hasn’t been relevant since about 2007. But they didn’t stop there. Next they moved their most explosive scorer in Monta Ellis for a PLAYER THAT WAS INJURED AND COULDN’T PLAY THE REST OF HE SEASON in Andrew Bogut. The result? The Warriors went 5-21 after the trade deadline. A move that scored them, you guessed it, the 7th overall pick in the Draft. But that, according to the league, was ok. The league also turned a blind eye last season when Miami and Boston combined to rest 6 All-Stars. But that too was ok.

The real problem here is David Stern kicking up a fuss at a problem he’s created. You have already been down the road with San Antonio resting its players (and previously refused to impose sanctions), and if having this game be a marquee event for TV viewership, why did you make a schedule that had this game being a 4th in 5 nights for the aging Spurs? This coming off a lockout shortened 66-game season played over 168 days last year, add in the playoffs AND it was an Olympic year. NBA players in this calendar year have had to play quite a bit of basketball, and only now has Stern decided to draw a line in the sand. I understand the leagues position on this, with many teams opting for dynamic ticket pricing (varying prices for home games pending on the visiting team), it also hurt fans paying more to see a big-name team along with the TV Ratings and the viewers at home. But if it’s their job to ensure their product is at a premium for 82 games, they’ve been wildly inconsistent about enforcing it. It’s also Poppovich’s job to ensure his team is ready come April for the NBA Playoffs. This game to the Spurs is a non-conference game at the end of a road-trip. Pop is running his team how he sees fit. Be mad at yourself David.

All regular season games mean the same in the standings, but now according to the league office, not all of the games are equal.

Onto the Week 13 Picks. Home team in CAPS.

Saints (+3.5) over FALCONS
Falcons won 24-14 on Thursday Night.

Seahawks (+3.5) over BEARS
The Seahawks losses this year have come by margins of: 4, 6, 7, 4, and 3. The Bears defense has masked how actually not good the offense is. The Bears average starting field position is 2nd highest in the league a credit to their defense and special teams. Well for starters, return specialist Devin Hester is out this weekend and the Seahawks have done a great job protecting the ball in the past month and only have 15 give-aways on the season. That might negate the Bears field-position advantage and to make matters worse the Bears offense averages a shockingly low 25.5 yards per drive which sits 4th worst in the league.

PACKERS (-8) over Vikings
Consider this a bit of a statement game for the Packers coming off that beat-down they were given to from the Giants. Plus you know, Christian Ponder on the road.

RAMS (+7) over 49ers
In their last matchup the Rams actually out-gained the 49’ers by more than 100 yards and probably should have won the game. It ended in the league’s only tie so far this season, but with a home underdog spread over a touchdown, I’ll take the Rams.

JETS (-4.5) over Cardinals
This’ll be 2 weeks in a row I selected the Jets. But really, after what can only be called “The Butt Fumble” they can only go up from here right? Also this will be the game of the week that NOBODY will watch.

Panthers (-3) over CHIEFS
No wait, maybe this will be the game NOBODY watches. Man the morning schedule is brutal this week. Also remember earlier in the year my rule about picking against the team that starts Brady Quinn. Well the Chiefs are starting Brady Quinn here.

LIONS (-5) over Colts
I’m assuming that because the Colts are on the road, that Chuck Pagano won’t be there to inspire the Colts. But if I find out on Sunday morning that the Colts team is waiting in the locker room to have a Skype Date with their head coach, I reserve the right to flip this pick.

JAGUARS (+6) over BILLS
I’m taking the Jaguars for 1 reason. 1 of my friends in my fantasy football league has been having a tortured season. Every decision he makes seemingly goes wrong and it ends up in him just being infuriated, which is wildly entertaining. His fantasy playoff hopes rely on him beating the owner that currently holds the final playoff spot. That owner is starting Chad Henne. If there’s ever a “HOW THE HELL DID CHAD HENNE DO THAT VERSUS ME?” moment... this is it.

Patriots (-8) over DOLPHINS
I actually really want to take the Dolphins because this has back-door cover written all over it, but after that brutal play (Tannehill – Thomas penalty) last week where Miami got spotted a fresh set of downs and subsequently scored to tie the game vs. my Seahawks.... I hope the Patriots just whoop them.

Texans (-6) over TITANS
I’m pretty much going to avoid picking the Titans every week from here on out. Texans might have already clinched the division but this game has some importance for them since Baltimore refuses to go away in the hopes of grabbing that #1 seed.

Bucs (+7) over BRONCOS
Mr. Josh Freeman aka King of the backdoor cover given a touchdown spread. Plus with the Saints loss, and a potential Seahawks loss, Bucs will be fired up trying to grab that 6th playoff spot.

RAVENS (-4) over Steelers
The Ravens are 1 of the few teams that have a true home field advantage, and the Steelers have.... Charlie Batch.

RAIDERS (-1.5) over Browns
I’m going with the Raiders because why would the universe with all of its mystical powers allow the Cleveland Browns to win back-back games?

Bengals (-1.5) over CHARGERS
This game will be played on December 4th, the 4th day of the Advent Calendar as the countdown towards Christmas. We need an advent calendar for a countdown until Norv Turner and all management for San Diego will be fired.

COWBOYS (-10) over Eagles
I’m 100% fully prepared to have this one blow up in my face. There’s really no reason why the Cowboys should be favoured by this many but with DeMarco Murray back, aren’t the Cowboys just setting us all up for a “This Is Why You Should Believe In Us” game? Only to let us down next week when they play on the road in Cincy?

REDSKINS (+2.5) over Giants
I bemoaned last week at the atrociousness of the Monday Night game between Philly and Carolina and claimed that I wouldn’t watch a second of it. Pretty proud to say that I didn’t. I’m going to watch every second of this game. Not only will my eyes be glued to the TV to watch RG3, my ass will be glued to the sofa. Watching the 2nd quarter of that Thanksgiving day game was pretty exhilarating because they put up 28 points before you could ask when dinner was being served. Blink and you would have missed a touchdown. I thank my lucky stars that St. Louis traded that pick and let Washington snag him because I would hate having my Seahawks play him twice a year. I’m taking the ‘Skins not only because of RG3 but because they were a freaky 77 yard Victor Cruz TD away from beating the Giants earlier this season. As a home ‘dog, I think they can pull it off this week.

This Week: 0-1
Last Week: 7-7-1
Season: 86-87-2

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